I think this is pretty interesting spot and way of thinking vs recs that came up doing my daily review.
https://replayer.runitup.com/hands/81c5a2e856 we play vs fish, so decided to go full exploitative here. I think that his range consists of small PP, some med suited connectors and broadways as well as small to mid suited Ax and hands that he doesn't want to raise and decide, but limps and calls so AJo ATo A9o. In theory we should be checking range oop, but here vs fish I think betting on the bigger side has merit as we want to maximize FE vs his wideish range. Maybe should bet 50% instead of 66% tho. Def see that we have immidiate FE OTF. Turn is interesting, decided to bet 1bb because I dont want to be facing big bet and also when 3 pairs, I think our FE goes way down and he calls whatever he called OTF with. OTR, having a Q sucks as we block his obv QJ combos, so I don't really think we should be bluffing this hand. He never folds a Tx (but he raises some of them OTT vs 1bb), I dont think he folds a 9x as they are really stationy. So the range we are targeting is Ax that peeled (he prob folds most of Ax so not that many combos left), lower FD and QJ. So maybe betting 10% pot just to fold out this part of his range is a way to go? I don't care about balancing vs recs. Pretty interesting spot IMO.
ft bubble big $7.50
$3.50+R are my main game this month, I focus on them mostly and been working hard on improving postflop play. I try to think deeply through a hand, focus on ranges (my range and villains range), apply sizings that I think are correct in any given spot and target specific parts of opponents range. Some people say that sngs are push/fold game only. I strongly disagree. Most people have this approach and they don't work on their postflop game. They don't have a gameplan and don't understand their range at all. I think that if we minimise mistakes postflop, then we can build stacks and chip up nicely. If we constantly build up, we will be on a shortstack less often then our opponents, so we will have less very marginal EV spots. AI EV in <15bb is around 5bb/100 or so, so pretty marginal and regs don't really make mistakes on this stackdepth, so we should work hard on postflop gameplan to accumulate as much as we can. This is where EV comes from in those games IMO.
I also started adding some mtts to my daily grind. Yesterday I FT bubbled Big $7.50 :( Onto the next one!
october so far
October is going well so far. I managed to build my my bankroll so I can grind $3.50+R regularly now, which makes me very happy as I think I have a huge edge in this format. What I noticed however is that on demand sngs are not going as well as expected. I am running terrible and probably playing pretty bad in $15 and in $7 I don't think I can make double digit ROI. I decided to stop grinding $15s for now and focus more on $3.50+R and add some vanilla mtts to my sessions. This way I will lower variance and have a shot of building my bankroll more quickly. I do believe small stakes mtts are super soft these days and I can achieve 50%+ ROI in them.
busy days grinding back up
Sooo... Like I said, I will be posting whenever I feel like it :)
Last few months I was grinding quite a bit and managed to get get out of previous downswing rather smoothly. Now I am playing $3.50+r reguralrly alongside with $2.50, $7.00 on demands, $4.50 non turbos and $5.00 PSKOs to maintain clean, 16-20 tabling. I feel very confident with my game again and feel like I have improved a lot. Reviewing 5-10 sngs/day and working on some spots. Also, I realized that I have had so many people marked as regulars purely because of volume they put in or amount of hands I had on them. Sadly (or not really) majority of those players suck! So I am constantly degrading them into either loosing reg, or just fish. It's so amuzing to see that even guys that have 5-10% ROI in those games, have no clue about optimal lines, preflop gto and dynamics. I guess poker will never die. At least on micro/low limits. My bankroll curently sits at $2500 and when I reach $3000 I will add $15.00 on demands. Results since the last post are below. Peace and love! :)